Question 1: Marks: 5
Determine trend line by the
least-squares method from the following data.
Years
1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 |
Price in Rs.
125 114 99 80 80 |
|
Solution:
Year |
Price in Rs (Y) |
X |
XY |
X^2 |
Yt |
1928 |
125 |
-2 |
-250 |
4 |
124.4 |
1929 |
114 |
-1 |
-114 |
1 |
112 |
1930 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99.6 |
1931 |
80 |
1 |
80 |
1 |
87.2 |
1932 |
80 |
2 |
160 |
4 |
74.8 |
Sum |
498 |
-124 |
10 |
Question 2: Marks:
5
From
the following table deseasonalized the data also write down the formula.
Quarter |
Amount
of Money |
Seasonal
Index |
I |
73 |
81.2 |
II |
91 |
100.3 |
III |
111 |
128.8 |
IV |
81 |
93.2 |
Solution:
Quarter |
Amount of Money |
Seasonal Index |
De-seasonalized Data |
|
Y |
X |
|
I |
73 |
81.2 |
89.90 |
II |
91 |
100.3 |
90.73 |
III |
111 |
128.8 |
86.18 |
IV |
81 |
93.2 |
86.91 |
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